Short video marketing

How do you forecast what your ad spend will buy?

Short answer

Use recent cost data, plan for seasonal swings, and separate channels with fixed prices from auction channels. Fixed-rate channels can be forecast exactly.

For auction channels, start from your last few months of CPMs, then add a buffer for peak seasons when costs rise. Forecast a range, not one number.

For fixed-rate channels, the maths is simple: budget ÷ rate per 1,000 × 1,000 = the most views the budget buys. On Pomera, that is the most verified views.

Mixing the two gives you a plan with a predictable core. Read why predictable ad spend matters.